Jamie Liu: Leading Edge Real Estate Marketing 604.771.2037

Archive for February, 2008

Embracing the end of the market boom?

Wednesday, February 20th, 2008

Strong population growth, tight labor market and major investments are indicating an ever strong economy for British Columbians. It seems that the boom is not going to cease, at least not for 2008. But what is really going on outside of British Columbia? Today, we are facing a record high oil price around the globe, a great inflation and recession period taking place in USA and rising Canadian dollar. So, what roles do those factors have in our surging economy growth?

The sky-rocketing oil price means the majority of companies will face a steep shrinkage in their profits because high oil price drives up the cost of transportation and raw material. One of the measurements a company would take is to lay-off its employees. Such an action could eventually lead to a slower employment growth and less spending in the market.

A chain reaction of the inflation and recession faced by Americans have already shown its negative impact on British Columbian forestry. In the beginning of year 2008, Weyerhaeuser announced its closure of its sawmill in Kamloops affecting 196 employees . It is mainly due to the continuing challenging markets in America. It is still unknown when America will recover from the fallout of the sub-prime mortgage but it is foreseeable that Fed will keep on reducing its rate to stimulate the American economy.

Having said that, the housing market in British Columbia is facing a dilemma. Immediately before the fallout of the sub-prime mortgage, the Canadian government raised its mortgage rate attempting to cool down the housing market. Then the blast of sub-prime mortgage is forcing Federal Reserve Board to relentlessly reduce its rate to reflect the severity of the crisis and in an attempt to recover consumers’ confidence to spend. The rate deduction measurement taken by Federal Reserve Board forces other countries to follow in order to stay competitive in the export/import/tourism sectors. It results in the Canadian dollar reaching parity with or even suppressing U.S greenback. What it means is that Canadian dollars will flow southward.

With so many negative signs emerging, the future of British Columbian economy is worrying. Although local economists are still very optimistic about the future economy, the housing price is saying otherwise. More young or first time buyers find it financially challenging to afford a property even for attached units. Some sellers who are serious about selling have also reduced their price to reflect the demand of the market. Therefore, if you are still thinking about selling your property to catch the residual heat of the booming market, now is the right time.

New listings rise to star the new year

Saturday, February 16th, 2008

VANCOUVER, B.C. — February 4, 2008 –
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential attached, detached and apartment property sales totalled 1,819 in January 2008, an increase of 0.7 per cent over the 1,806 total residential sales in January 2007 and a 5.5 per cent decline from the 1, 924 sales recorded in January 2006. New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties climbed 14.9 per cent in January 2008, compared to the 4,067 units listed in January 2007. In contrast to January 2006, new listings from this January rose more dramatically, up 34.7 per cent.

“With new listings outpacing sales increases to start the year, it appears the market is heading toward more balance,” says REBGV president Brian Naphtali. “The result will be welcome for consumers looking for more time to undertake due diligence before making a buying or selling decision.” Sales of apartment properties in January 2008 rose 11.7 per cent to 860, compared to 695 sales in January 2007. The benchmarkprice, as calculated by the MLSLink Housing Price Index®, of an apartment property increased 13.8 per cent from January 2007 to $378,336. “It was clearly on the strength of apartment sales that overall residential sales figures increased in January,” says Naphtali. “There’s clearly been a trend over the past decade toward growth in the high density condo market. Townhome sales have continued to be steady, and detached homes remain a popular choice. But more and more consumers are purchasing apartments.”

Attached property sales in January 2008 declined 6.7 per cent to 318, compared with the 341 sales from January 2007. The benchmark price of an attached unit increased 12.4 per cent from January 2007 to $462,627. January 2008 sales for detached properties decreased 7.8 per cent to 641, from the 695 detached units sold over the same period in 2007. The January benchmark price for detached properties rose 15.7 per cent from January 2007 to $742,490.
-realtylink.org

Repair & Rewards

Thursday, February 7th, 2008

Quick fixes before selling a home always pay off, but which repairs bring the biggest return? Specific answers to this often-asked question largely depend on a variety of factors such as:

  • Time of year
  • Location of the home
  • Market temperature
  • Competing inventory

There is no hard and fast rule. But there are general guidelines that apply to most homes. For example, the National Association of Realtors publishes each year the Cost vs. Value Report with Remodeling Magazine, which features various home project costs and returns in four regions, including a national average.

Flooring Fixes

In my neighborhood, most of the homes were built in the late 1940s, which means the floors are original, hardwood oak. Wood floors are a hot item today, but preferences over the years have changed. Carpeting became popular — like with lots of consumer products — after somebody figured out how to get the government to pay for it. When vets returned home from WWII, housing was at a shortage. Homes were sold with newly installed carpeting because the cost for the carpeting could be rolled into government-insured (VA) loans.

Then carpeting became vogue in the 1960s. Some homes today, sadly, still sport ’60’s shag carpeting. The final movement away from hardwood happened when installing hardwood floors became too expensive. Plywood was easier to obtain and faster to install. Plus choices in carpeting were plenty. It’s still relatively inexpensive to install carpeting.

Hardwood Floors
If your home has hardwood floors, that’s what buyers want, and it would pay to have the carpeting removed and the floors refinished.
Carpeting
If your sub-floor is plywood, then replace the carpeting with light tan. Neutral carpeting is your best bet for resale.
Ceramic
Replace chipped or cracked tiles. Clean or replace the grout. But don’t install ceramic (it’s too expensive) unless it’s for aesthetic reasons in an entry way.

Paint Ceilings & Walls

Buyers spend more time than you would think staring at ceilings. They are looking for signs of a leaky roof, but what you don’t want them to see are stains from grease or smoke and ceiling cracks. Ditto for walls. Nothing says freshness like new paint, and it’s the most cost effective improvement. Use fiberglass tape on large cracks, cover with joint compound and sand. Paint a neutral color such as light tan – think of coffee with cream.

Wallpaper
It’s not that all buyers hate wallpaper. They hate your wallpaper – because it’s your personal choice, not theirs. And they hate all dated wallpaper. Get rid of it. The easiest way is to steam it off by using an inexpensive wallpaper remover steamer.
Wood paneling
Even if your wood paneling is not real wood but composite, you can paint it. Dated paneling must go. Older wood paneling such as walnut, mahogany, cedar and pine, it’s all gone out of style. Paint it a neutral and soft color after priming it.
Textured ceilings
Older popcorn ceilings with the “sparkles” often contain asbestos and if disturbed are health hazards. Say goodbye to it. But even recently sprayed ceilings turn off buyers. It’s not expensive but it is time consuming to remove. Lay down drop cloths and scrape it off. You will need to repaint.

Kitchen Improvements

Appliances and cabinets are typically the most expensive items to replace in a kitchen. If you don’t have to replace them, you’ll save a ton of money. However, if your cabinets are dated and beat-up, your house might not sell if the cabinets aren’t replaced.

Kitchen remodels return nearly 100%. According to Remodeling Magazine, the high-end kitchens don’t return as much as the mid-range or minor kitchen remodels. Most buyers won’t pay extra for a built-in Sub Zero refrigerator, professional 8-burner stove, undermount sink or travertine floors. If you live in the Midwest, your return will be less than for those who live in other parts of the country.

Cabinets
Resurfacing is your best option. This involves attaching a thin veneer to the surface of the cabinets and replacing the doors and hardware Compare Prices. If your cabinets are painted, add a fresh coat of paint and new hardware.
Counter tops, sinks & faucets
Granite counters are not necessary. Simple laminates, newer faucets and sparkling sinks sell. Buyers don’t want leaky faucets or stained sinks.

Bathrooms

The national average of recouped cost is more than 100% for bathrooms. New floors, fixtures and lights payoff.

Roofs & Exterior

If your home needs a new roof, bite the bullet and do it. Even though most roofing tear-off jobs take one to two days, buyers shy away from buying a home if the roof needs to be replaced.

  • Patch cement cracks in sidewalks
  • Resurface asphalt driveways
  • Plant flowers
  • Caulk windows and doors
  • Replace doorknobs and locks
  • Fix or paint fences

Conclusion

Overall, buyers want to buy a home that has no deferred maintenance, newer appliances, updated plumbing, electrical and heating (including a/c), modern conveniences and is ready to occupy.

2-5-10 Year Home Warranty Insurance

Sunday, February 3rd, 2008

10/01 HOME WARRANTY INSURANCE REQUIREMENTS FOR NEW HOMES To increase consumer protection for new home buyers, the Homeowner Protection Act regulations for residential builder licensing and mandatory, third-party home warranty insurance were implemented on July 1, 1999. As a result, all new homes constructed with building permits applied for on or after July 1, 1999 must be built by residential builders licensed with the Homeowner Protection Office (HPO) and covered by a policy of home warranty insurance. In geographic areas where building permits are not required, licensing and home warranty insurance is required for new home construction commenced on or after July 1, 1999. Home warranty insurance can now only be provided by insurance companies that have been approved by the Financial Institutions Commission (FICom) and meet the requirements of the Homeowner Protection Act. (See the HPO bulletin entitled “Understanding Home Warranties” for further information.) Standards of coverage, commencement dates, exclusions and limits on coverage are now set by government to ensure clarity and a consistent base-level of consumer protection.

MINIMUM STANDARDS OF COVERAGE REQUIRED: 2-5-10 Home warranty insurance on new homes includes a minimum of 2 years on labour and materials, 5 years on the building envelope, including water penetration, and 10 years on structure. The 2-year labour and materials coverage is broken down as follows: Any defect in materials and labour: • 12 months on detached homes and on non-common property in strata units (includes fee simple homes) • 15 months on common property of strata buildings Defects in materials and labour related to the delivery and distribution systems (electrical, plumbing, heating ventilation, air conditioning, etc.): • 24 months for all buildings.

 COMMENCEMENT DATES Commencement dates on home warranty insurance are: Fee simple (primarily detached dwelling units): • Custom homes: date of first occupancy or date of first occupancy permit, whichever transpires first. • Spec. homes: Date of first occupancy or date of transfer of legal title to first owner, whichever transpires first. Strata homes: • Strata unit: earliest of date of first occupancy or date of transfer of legal title to first owner. • Common property: earliest of date of first-unit occupancy in strata building or date of transfer of legal title to first owner in building.

HOME WARRANTY INSURANCE EXCLUSIONS The Homeowner Protection Act regulations specify what the home warranty insurance companies can exclude from their policies. General exclusions can include: landscaping; nonresidential detached structures (however, parking structures, recreational and amenity facilities in multi-unit buildings are covered); commercial use areas; roads, curbs and lanes (however, driveways are covered); site grading and surface drainage; the operation of municipal services; septic tanks and fields; and water quality and quantity. Defect related exclusions can include: normal wear and tear; normal shrinkage of materials from construction; use of new home for non-residential purposes; materials, labour and design supplied by the owner; damage caused by the anyone other than the residential builder; damage caused by insects or rodents; failure of an owner to prevent or minimize damage and acts of nature.

LIMITS ON COVERAGE Coverage on claims is as follows: Fee simple (primarily detached dwelling units): • The lesser of the first owner’s purchase price or $200,000. Strata homes: • Strata unit: lesser of the first owner’s purchase price or $100,000. • Common property: the lesser $100,000 times the number of dwelling units in the building or $2.5 million per building. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT Homeowner Protection Office telephone: (604) 646-7055 email: hpo@hpo.bc.ca toll-free: 1-800-407-7757 Web site: www.hpo.bc.ca fax: (604) 646-7051 2-5-10 Year Home Warranty Insurance R E S T O R I N G C O N F I D E N C E

Leaky condos still a disaster

Sunday, February 3rd, 2008

 William Boei

B.C.’s leaky condo disaster is entering its third decade. The worst of it is behind us but it is far from over and we are not nearly finished paying for it, or arguing about who is to blame.

The human cost of the disaster is not measurable. Hundreds of thousands of British Columbians have been touched by it.

For some, it was no more than a financial inconvenience. Their homes leaked, and they paid to repair to them.

Others, especially in the 1990s, lost their homes, their savings and their health.

Tens of thousands of condo units built during the B.C. building boom of the mid-1980s to the late 1990s suffered water damage as wind-driven rain entered the walls of badly designed, badly built buildings.

The home building industry’s warranty program collapsed under the weight of the claims, and many homeowners got little or nothing back. They included older couples who intended to spend their golden years in a low-maintenance condo and young families buying their first homes.

In the worst cases, the walls leaked so badly homes were all but flooded. Wet carpets sprouted mushrooms. Moulds, some of them toxic, stained the walls, making some people sick. And the walls rotted.

Some condo owners walked away from their mortgages and their homes. Some slipped into bankruptcy. Some developed respiratory and stress-related illnesses.

There was no government help until the end of the 1990s following two public inquiries, when the province set up its Homeowner Protection Office and offered condo owners interest-free repair loans.

The financial cost of leaky condos is measurable, but only parts of it are being measured.

We do know that the average cost of repairing water-damaged condos has nearly doubled since the Homeowner Protection Office was created. Some figures indicate it has more than tripled.

Government and industry sources agree the cost is going up because:

More and more concrete highrise condo owners are discovering leaks, and they’re more expensive to fix than low-rises;

Low-rise buildings whose owners have put off repairs — sometimes for years — or tried to cover up the problem with cosmetic fixes are coming up for repairs with more advanced rot than buildings that were dealt with early;

Construction costs are rising fast as B.C. rides another major building boom.

One indicator of per-unit repair costs is the interest-free repair loans provided by the HPO.

“The average value of the loans has been going up quite significantly,” said HPO chief executive Ken Cameron, “so it’s now in the $60,000-to-$75,000 per unit range, whereas it used to be in the $35,000-to-$40,000 range.”

The number of low-rise buildings turning up with building envelope problems is past its peak, but a second wave of leaky condos — concrete highrise buildings — is well under way.

“It’s not over,” said Carmen Maretic, a real estate agent who has been advocating for leaky condo owners for years. “It’s very much still a problem.

“People are still dealing with the whole process of evaluating their buildings and going through whether a majority of owners can agree to do repairs.”

Maretic, who heads the CASH (Consumer Advocacy and Support for Homeowners) Society, said HPO statistics show that in the last eight months, the HPO approved nearly $139,000 per day in repair loans.

“As shocking as these costs are, this only represents a portion of the true repair costs as many homeowners do not qualify for HPO no-interest or deferred loans,” Maretic said.

Her figures indicate the average loan has more than tripled, from $19,733 as of March 2000 to nearly $60,500 in the last eight months.

Maretic called on the provincial government to provide more help for leaky condo owners and press the federal government to kick in more money.

Ottawa kicked in about $28 million early on for the HPO interest-free loans fund, but serious negotiations for a larger federal contribution petered out years ago.

One highrise after another, along the New Westminster waterfront, on the North Shore, in downtown Vancouver and elsewhere in Greater Vancouver, is getting its walls stripped down to concrete, scaffolding erected to roof level and green shrouds draped over the building to keep the rain out during repairs.

Advocates like Maretic and James Balderson of the Coalition of Leaky Condo Owners are keenly aware of them, engineers like Pierre Gallant of Morrison Hershfield who oversee the repairs say they’re seeing more leaky highrises relative to low-rises, and the HPO’s Cameron acknowledges there are proportionally more highrises joining the lists of leaky buildings.

On virtually all of them, the outer cladding — usually “face seal” systems attached to the concrete walls with steel studs — has failed to keep the rain out. The fix is to strip off the cladding and replace it with rain-screen wall systems that include a cavity between inner and outer wall components to let any water that gets in drain out again.

Leaky highrises were predicted in the late 1990s by Dave Ricketts of RDH Building Engineering, among others.

“It would be surprising if these buildings did not leak,” Ricketts wrote in the engineering journal Innovation in 1999. “The key difference is the time it takes for the problems to manifest themselves and create a health and safety hazard.”

Gallant agreed. It takes longer for highrises to show problems because, simply, “wood rots faster than steel rusts,” he said.

A face-seal wall “relies on perfection” to keep the rain out, “and therefore fails.”

Low-rises with face-seal walls often leaked in spots where doors, windows, balconies and other features are attached to the walls, and the joints are imperfectly sealed, especially on the upper floors, which are more exposed to rain and wind.

“The exposure on highrises is much higher because the wind exposure is far greater. But the materials are more robust and take longer to decay, typically,” Gallant said.

A few highrises have failed catastrophically: Sections of cladding have let go and plunged to the ground. But most of them just show the same symptoms as leaky highrises — water inside the windows, wet spots and mould on the walls.

Highrise or lowrise, the expert advice is that the longer you put off repairing a leaky building, the more expensive it will be.

Yet there are still dozens if not hundreds of low-rise wood-frame buildings where the owners haven’t realized their walls are rotting, or are refusing to acknowledge the problem, or have tried cosmetic fixes when major repairs are needed, or are deadlocked with their neighbours over whether and how much to spend on repairs.

Many strata councils are pursuing slow-moving lawsuits, trying to recover at least some of their repair costs from developers, contractors, architects, engineers, window manufacturers, municipal governments — anyone connected with their leaky buildings with deep enough pockets to sue.

Most of the suits are settled through mediation and with non-disclosure agreements attached, so there is no public record of the average settlement. But lawyers say strata councils typically get 40 to 60 cents back for every dollar they spend on repairs.

For those who can’t reach a consensus, or can’t muster the resources to get through the daunting process of hiring technical and legal expertise to assess the damage, finance the repairs and recover at least some of the cost, it’s an unending nightmare.

“The longer you wait, the more the damage,” said Gallant. “And the cost is going to be higher not only because there’s more damage, but because construction costs are going up. So putting your head in the sand is not going to solve the problem.”

“Many people are still suffering,” Maretic added, “particularly those that went into bankruptcy and those that have health consequences.”

After all these years, no one can yet say with any certainty just how big the problem is.

There are no solid statistics for the number of leaky condos or how much it is costing to fix them, although the HPO is sticking with a five-year-old estimate that about 65,000 condo and co-op units have suffered water damage and the total repair bill will be about $1.5 billion.

But there is no registry of leaky condos, no comprehensive list, no certainty about how many buildings have been touched by the rot.

“No one knows the extent of B.C.’s leaky condo crisis,” said Louise Murray, who operates the bccondos.ca advocacy website, “because, unbelievably at this late stage in the game, no one is tracking it.”

It is guesswork whether the HPO’s loan statistics reflect actual repair costs.

Only those who can show they don’t have the assets and income to shoulder the cost of repairs, and are prepared to follow the HPO’s repair guidelines, are eligible for the loans. Those with more resources, whose homes may be more expensive and cost more to fix, are not eligible and not counted. Those who try to make do with patch-work repairs are not counted. Not surprisingly, many suspect the HPO’s numbers are low.

“We’ve never trusted their estimation,” said Balderson. “We continue to think they underestimate the magnitude of the problem and the total cost.”

Balderson says only 20 per cent of condo owners qualify for HPO assistance — leaky condo welfare, he scathingly calls it.

That means 80 per cent of the problem is not accounted for by HPO statistics, and Balderson notes the 80 per cent includes upscale buildings where no one qualifies for loans, and repairs run as high as $125,000 per unit or more.

“I think their number’s low on total costs incurred,” concurred John Singleton, a lawyer whose firm, Singleton Urquhart, has defended many building professionals in leaky condo suits. “My sense is it’s over $2 billion.”

That’s for residential buildings. The HPO counts only leaky condos and co-ops. But they were not the only buildings affected by design and construction problems in the ’80s and ’90s.

“We have seen failures in all kinds of buildings,” said Gallant, whose company is one of the region’s leading engineering firms for building remediation work.

Rental housing, social housing, office buildings, schools, churches, even shopping malls are infested with the same problems as leaky condos. Water gets in the walls, it can’t get out again, and the wall components slowly rot. We don’t hear much about them because they don’t have angry owners clamouring for media attention. Gallant says their owners file insurance claims, do the repairs and file lawsuits with no public fanfare.

So what’s the grand total? Nobody knows.

Might it be higher than the official estimate?

“It might,” Cameron conceded. “It’s hard to say.”

Gallant and others with an overview of the construction industry guess that residential housing probably accounts for the majority of the damage. So if the real cost of repairing leaky condos is more than $2 billion and repairs to all other types of buildings amount to only one-third of the total, the bills add up to at least $3 billion — double the province’s estimate.

The Vancouver Sun 2006

A quick forecast for 2008

Friday, February 1st, 2008

Driven by strong population growth, increase in consumer spending, major investment in construction and high business confidence, B.C.’s economy is still looking very bright for 2008.

After seven consecutive prosperous years, the demand for homeownership still remains strong. However, the record high housing price forces many first time buyers and low-equity home buyers moving away from detached units for the time being.

In 2007 Q3, newly constructed detached units were down by 28.7% compared to 2006 while attached units had a 14.6% increase. The reflection of builders’ actions might suggest a foreseeable change in housing demand. We might witness a shift in demand in favor of attached units in 2008 due to their affordability. Having that said, detached units might experience slight price increase compared to 2007.